{"id":4401,"date":"2023-11-21T18:24:35","date_gmt":"2023-11-21T17:24:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/?p=4401"},"modified":"2023-11-21T18:24:37","modified_gmt":"2023-11-21T17:24:37","slug":"trump-covid-ukraine-gaza-by-stefan-stern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/trump-covid-ukraine-gaza-by-stefan-stern\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump. Covid. Ukraine. Gaza. <br> by Stefan Stern"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"538\" src=\"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Stern_Stefan_1200x630px-1024x538.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4403\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Stern_Stefan_1200x630px-1024x538.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Stern_Stefan_1200x630px-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Stern_Stefan_1200x630px-768x403.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Stern_Stefan_1200x630px-1536x806.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/Stern_Stefan_1200x630px.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Well might the organisers of this year\u2019s Global Peter Drucker Forum have invoked \u201can age of discontinuity\u201d in the conference title. These have been a shattering few years. If you are not troubled you have not been paying attention. Indeed, \u201ctroubled\u201d will hardly do as a descriptive term. \u201cExhausted\u201d might be a more honest assessment. The more stable world we once knew, and perhaps took for granted, seems a thing of the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the conference headline also offers a more optimistic thought, and goal: \u201ccreative resilience\u201d. This could point to a reasonable route ahead, and an answer to some of our concerns. What form might this resilience take?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the past, when business leaders have called for resilience from their people, it was not always an encouraging sign. The implication was that, not only are times tough, but only the toughest will survive, and will deserve to survive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the discontinuity of 2023 \u2013 sometimes referred to as a \u201cpolycrisis\u201d \u2013 demands a more considered and sophisticated approach than mere machismo. As Lynda Gratton, professor at London Business School, told me in an interview for Drucker Forum TV, a healthier kind of resilience will involve being honest with friends and colleagues about the challenges you are facing. Creative resilience means opening up, not hunkering down and \u201ctoughing it out\u201d on your own. Resilience today means acknowledging vulnerability, not denying it. It calls for collaborative endeavour, not lonely attempts at heroic individualism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if the world remains Darwinian, we should understand that the resilience Darwin detected in the natural world was down to the survival of the most adaptable, and not the \u201cfittest\u201d. So creative resilience is very much the kind the great naturalist would have approved of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Drucker, of course, emphasised the importance of being clear about your objectives. But that clarity should not imply rigidity. As a practical \u2013 liberal \u2013 art, management must mean finding creative ways of achieving objectives, especially in a world of discontinuity. \u201cSome things change, some stay the same\u201d, as the rock star Chrissie Hynde sings. The trick lies in recognising what has to change and what must not change. This is a task for leadership.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The biggest change looming large in all our lives \u2013 beyond geopolitical crises \u2013 is the emergence of ever-more powerful \u201clarge language models\u201d which support generative artificial intelligence: ChatGPT and the rest. Drucker was famously sceptical about the computer, labelling it a \u201ctotal moron\u201d in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/capabilities\/people-and-organizational-performance\/our-insights\/the-manager-and-the-moron\">McKinsey article<\/a> in 1967.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, Drucker was well aware of the potential of these powerful processing machines, as long as managers understood how to use them. \u201cThough it can\u2019t make decisions,\u201d he wrote, \u201cthe computer will \u2013 if we use it intelligently \u2013 increase the availability of information\u2026That\u2019s why it\u2019s so important to exploit the computer\u2019s ability to give us&nbsp;<em>only<\/em>&nbsp;the information we want \u2013 nothing else.\u201d Drucker anticipated the danger of \u201challucinations\u201d \u2013 useless and misleading data, generated by \u201cbrilliant\u201d AI at the speed of light.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Working wisely and imaginatively with the new technology, to allow our fellow human beings to work more effectively, may be the top agenda item for managers today. If we want to re-establish a semblance of order in an age of discontinuity, a happy marriage of human and machine will have to be arranged, and managed. At the end of this year\u2019s Drucker Forum perhaps delegates will leave with a few new ideas about how they might achieve this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>About the Author:\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Stefan Stern <\/em><\/strong><em>is the author (with Prof Cary Cooper) of \u201cMyths of Management: what people get wrong about being the boss\u201d , and also of \u201cHow To Be A Better Leader\u201d. He is Visiting Professor at Bayes Business School, City, University of London, and a former Financial Times columnist<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well might the organisers of this year\u2019s Global Peter Drucker Forum have invoked \u201can age of discontinuity\u201d in the conference title. These have been a shattering few years. If you are not troubled you have not been paying attention. Indeed, \u201ctroubled\u201d will hardly do as a descriptive term. \u201cExhausted\u201d might be a more honest assessment. The more stable world we once knew, and perhaps took for granted, seems a thing of the past. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/?p=4401\">[\u2026]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4405,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":""},"categories":[328],"tags":[329,23],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4401"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4401"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4401\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4406,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4401\/revisions\/4406"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4405"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4401"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4401"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4401"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}