{"id":2921,"date":"2020-10-09T20:56:46","date_gmt":"2020-10-09T18:56:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/?p=2921"},"modified":"2020-10-09T20:56:48","modified_gmt":"2020-10-09T18:56:48","slug":"we-need-to-have-hard-conversations-on-the-value-of-ai-by-mark-esposito-terence-tse-and-josh-entsminger","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/we-need-to-have-hard-conversations-on-the-value-of-ai-by-mark-esposito-terence-tse-and-josh-entsminger\/","title":{"rendered":"We need to have hard conversations on the value of AI <\/br>by Mark Esposito, Terence Tse and Josh Entsminger"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/12GPDF20_Esposito_further-1024x536.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2923\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/12GPDF20_Esposito_further-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/12GPDF20_Esposito_further-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/12GPDF20_Esposito_further-768x402.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/12GPDF20_Esposito_further.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>These months have proven to be emblematic of the dangers of a hyperconnected world. Coronavirus cases continue to grow and grow fast, and asymmetries rise around the world at a pace we may have not imagined when 2020 started. Yet the digital nature of our hyperconnected world may prove to hold some of the critical solutions needed to scale novel approaches to the problems associated with the pandemic. The issue is not the virus alone: it\u2019s more about the reactions to the virus such as information on the resources we need to allocate or an understanding of the wider consequences for businesses trying to respond.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote style=\"width: 55%; color: #000000; background: #ffffff; float: left; margin: 0 0 0 1px;\" data-darkreader-inline-color=\"\" data-darkreader-inline-bgcolor=\"\" data-darkreader-inline-bgimage=\"\"><h2><span style=\"color: #00ccff;\" data-darkreader-inline-color=\"\"><strong>Drucker Forum 2020<\/strong><\/span><\/h2><div class=\"sidebar-contents\">\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\" data-darkreader-inline-color=\"\">This article is one in the \u201cshape the debate\u201d series relating to the fully digital <span style=\"color: #00ccff;\" data-darkreader-inline-color=\"\"><a style=\"color: #00ccff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/home\/\" data-darkreader-inline-color=\"\">12th Global Peter Drucker Forum<\/a><\/span>, under the theme \u201cLeadership Everywhere\u201d on October 28, 29 &amp; 30, 2020.<br><strong>#DruckerForum<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AI solutions<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among these digital systems, few are being more heralded more than AI-powered solutions. Despite its current novelty, AI is anything but new. The marked increase in experimentation in the pandemic, and the ensuing interest from governments and corporations alike, represents a new global conversation on AI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Novel cases of AI use are quickly spreading across international media, such as rapid assessment of patient scans at scale for improved covid-19 detection, improved accuracy for global case tracking and prediction, wide review and collection of online articles relevant for awareness and assessment, and advanced chemical analysis to assist vaccine creation. Want some examples? From the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/ai-epidemiologist-wuhan-public-health-warnings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">BlueDot\u2019s predictive awareness<\/a>&nbsp;to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/technology\/2020\/03\/19\/chinas-alibaba-offers-coronavirus-diagnostic-tool-europe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Alibaba\u2019s AI diagnostics<\/a>&nbsp;ranging to transportation with the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/qz.com\/1816762\/coronavirus-hong-kongs-mtr-subway-uses-robot-to-disinfect-trains\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Hong Kong Mass Transit\u2019s autonomous robotic cleaners<\/a>&nbsp;and the herald of health-care AI with&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Health\/doctors-artificial-intelligence-track-coronavirus-outbreak\/story?id=69444963\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Boston Children\u2019s Hospital\u2019s HealthMap program<\/a>, these programs have demonstrated a superior form of utilization of machine learning. Also noteworthy are&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/deepmind.com\/blog\/article\/AlphaFold-Using-AI-for-scientific-discovery\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DeepMind\u2019s AlphaFold<\/a>&nbsp;as well as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/coronavirus\/2019-ncov\/symptoms-testing\/testing.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the Center for Disease Control and Prevention\u2019s assessment bot<\/a>&nbsp;to finish with Facebook\u2019s social network safety moderating. The icing on the cake comes from application with inherent ethical norms, such as BenevolentAI\u2019s drug screening program.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The marked increase in experimentation in the pandemic, and the ensuing interest from governments and firms alike, represents a new state of affairs in the global conversation on AI.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As overwhelming this list of applications is, it demonstrates a broader public hope and commercial awareness for the increasing potential of AI as a fundamental piece of the modern technology landscape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Reality before experiments are scaled<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But a dose of reality is needed as the demand for experimentation grows into a demand for scaling. As not all problems demand AI solutions, nor are all existing AI solutions up to the task of many highly uncertain problems, so not all organizations are advanced enough to effectively deploy and leverage such solutions without creating second-order effects. While solutions at scale are needed, and new practices and means are in place to experiment, we need to be sure that organizations looking to put these experiments into play have a thorough understanding of what the \u201cjob to be done\u201d really is. As with most transformations, such agendas are sometimes less about the technology than the culture, work, and mental models being changed such that new productivity, opportunities, and social advancement is actually achieved and made sustainable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AI concerns<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This concern extends to the question of how national &nbsp;and municipal governments look to leverage these emerging technologies to help improve the speed, scale, and sophistication of responses to high-impact, low-probability events like large-scale systemic shocks. Whether it is governments looking for strategic investment for AI competency or for firms looking for proven AI applications, similar concerns need to emerge. For a more mature conversation, we need to move from what we want AI to do towards a more real, deeper conversation on what we need from AI in order to respond to crises while not generating a fundamental, deeper vacuum of rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We need to go further, as despite the innovativeness of those cases mentioned, broader strategies are needed for engaging with foresight into the principal and value-driven challenges brought on by AI. This will include creating the means for effective conversations on, amongst other things, &nbsp;whether to sacrifice privacy to ensure health-care capacity, whether data ownership should be private or publicly managed, and whether the potential inequality from some applications outweigh the benefits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What is the value of AI?<\/strong> As states look to AI to reshape their post-pandemic response, we need to have hard conversations on what the value of AI really is. All of this begins with a real appreciation for what AI can and cannot do when subjected to the demands of operational improvements at scale. These conversations need to happen together, and now to build better frameworks of use. Otherwise the huge potential of these technologies will be to no avail for the betterment of society when we need it the most.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>About the Authors:<\/strong><br><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/markesposito\/\" target=\"_blank\"><em>Mark Esposito<\/em><\/a><em> Co-Founder &amp; CLO, Nexus FrontierTech, Professor, Bestselling Author, Advisor to National Governments.\u00a0<\/em><br><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.escpeurope.eu\/tse-terence\" target=\"_blank\"><em>Terence Tse<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0is professor of finance at ESCP Business School and co-founder of Nexus FrontierTech.\u00a0<\/em><br><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ucl.ac.uk\/bartlett\/public-purpose\/people\/josh-entsminger\" target=\"_blank\"><em>Josh Entsminger<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0is a doctoral student in innovation and public policy at the UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em> This article is one in the  <strong>\u201cshape the debate\u201d <\/strong>series relating to the fully digital <a href=\"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/home\/\">12th Global Peter Drucker Forum<\/a>, under the <em>theme \u201cLeadership Everywhere\u201d on October 28, 29 &amp; 30, 2020.<br><\/em><strong>#DruckerForum<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>These months have proven to be emblematic of the dangers of a hyperconnected world. Coronavirus cases continue to grow and grow fast, and asymmetries rise around the world at a pace we may have not imagined when 2020 started. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/?p=2921\">[\u2026]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":2924,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":""},"categories":[277],"tags":[278,286,151,152],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2921"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2921"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2921\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2925,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2921\/revisions\/2925"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2924"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2921"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2921"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.druckerforum.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2921"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}